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Crowning a W20 Franchise Champion
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July 28, 2020
1:07 pm
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CAC ball seems like a distant memory, quarantine fatigue is real, it’s like 95 degrees outside, and the NBA is still just scrimmaging. So what better time to revisit the W20 season?

Doesn’t seem right to have a season without a champion, so what if there were a way to figure out if there’s any one team logically and undisputedly deserving of the crown? There’s no one single measure to determine this, but there are several - so what if, theoretically, one team came out on top of all relevant criteria? Certainly no way to know beforehand in this objective exercise, so let’s take a look at some of the criteria and see:


Best Record

Probably the most basic measure of team quality - who’s winning the games? In this instance, there is a clear #1 team, as the Basket Cases sit at 7-1, two games ahead of anyone else. Additionally, the Basket Cases have wins over all 7 of the other teams in the league, while no other team has beaten more than 4 opponents.


Best Point Differential

Point differential can also be helpful as an augment to record, emphasizing dominant performances while accounting for tight games that could’ve gone either way. Here, the Basket Cases come up tops again, at +11.13 point differential, nearly twice as good as the second-place JYD at 5.85. No other team was better than +4 differential.


Team Balance

This kinda measures a similar thing as point differential, but with a specific eye towards balance. Teams can go hot and cold, so anyone too reliant on one end of the court could find themselves vulnerable if things don't go their way one night. Teams that are strong on both ends have a leg up, so I decided to see who had the best combined rankings of points for and points against.

  Points scored Points against Combined
Basket Cases 3 1 4
HFCM 2 4 6
Axis Powers 1 7 8
Junkyard Dogs 6 3 9
Nimrods 4 5 9
A Young 35 8 1 9
Grey Mambas 5 6 11
FRT 7 8 15

Curiously, it is the Basket Cases who come up on top once again, a couple spots ahead of Hair Club For Men. 


Recent Success

Especially in a draft league, it sometimes takes teams a little bit to gel. We’ve seen teams get hot toward the end of the season and ride that to the championship. So let’s look at the second half of the season: with 8 games played, who were the best teams over the final 4? Only one team went undefeated over the last 4 weeks of the abridged season: the Basket Cases. The Nimrods and AY35 both went 3-1, and it just so happens that both lost to the Basket Cases.


Bonus - Injuries

Attendance plays a major role in team success, and it’s partially luck and partially recognizing which guys (eg Coburn) are likely only gonna make half the games. So were any teams particularly hard hit by injuries, indicating they should receive additional positive consideration? Interestingly, it’s the team that was already #1 on every measurement - the Basket Cases! Solid starter Dan Buckley barely made it through 1 game, getting injured early in game 2 of the Basket Cases’ only loss, and not able to return before the season was cut short. Meanwhile, rookie Sam Boyles was injured shortly before the season began, and didn’t make his first appearance until week 6. He immediately filled a big need, averaging 17.3 ppg including a big outing in week 8 to avenge the Basket Cases’ only loss of the season.


Conclusion

I went into this exercise with no idea what the data would show, but it seems irrefutable by now that the Basket Cases were undeniably the best team of the W20 season and deserve the title of champs. Congrats fellas!

August 3, 2020
1:41 pm
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I say this with 100% certainty, there is no scenario you went into this exercise without knowing the outcome. This is classic Frongiism at its best....Nothing makes me happier than knowing you won't know the real answer....Hope you're staying safe though...

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